Hennessy Total Return Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

HDOGX Fund  USD 15.37  0.11  0.71%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.29, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Hennessy Total's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Hennessy Total is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Hennessy Total Return are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, Hennessy Total may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026.
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Expense Ratio Date28th of February 2025
Expense Ratio3.6200
  

Hennessy Total Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,442  in Hennessy Total Return on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  95.00  from holding Hennessy Total Return or generate 6.59% return on investment over 90 days. Hennessy Total Return is currently producing 0.1079% returns and takes up 0.55% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 4% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Hennessy, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hennessy Total is expected to generate 0.68 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.47 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Hennessy Total Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
15.37
Please note that Hennessy Total's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be undervalued. Hennessy Total Return retains a regular Real Value of $16.62 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $15.37. We determine the value of Hennessy Total Return from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Hennessy Total is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Hennessy Mutual Fund. However, Hennessy Total's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  15.37 Real  16.62 Hype  15.37
The intrinsic value of Hennessy Total's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Hennessy Total's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
16.62
Real Value
17.16
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Hennessy Total Return helps investors to forecast how Hennessy mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Hennessy Total more accurately as focusing exclusively on Hennessy Total's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.8315.3715.91
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Hennessy Total Return extending back to July 30, 1998. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Hennessy Total stands at 15.37, as last reported on the 10th of February, with the highest price reaching 15.37 and the lowest price hitting 15.37 during the day.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Hennessy Total Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Hennessy Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.37 90 days 15.37 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hennessy Total to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Hennessy Total Return probability density function shows the probability of Hennessy Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hennessy Total has a beta of 0.29. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hennessy Total average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hennessy Total Return will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hennessy Total Return has an alpha of 0.1094, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hennessy Total Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hennessy Total

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hennessy Total Return. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.8315.3715.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.8316.6217.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hennessy Total. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hennessy Total's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hennessy Total's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hennessy Total Return.

Hennessy Total Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hennessy Total is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hennessy Total's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hennessy Total Return, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hennessy Total within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Hennessy Total Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hennessy Total for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hennessy Total Return can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 61.2% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Hennessy Total Fundamentals Growth

Hennessy Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Hennessy Total, and Hennessy Total fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Hennessy Mutual Fund performance.

About Hennessy Total Performance

Evaluating Hennessy Total's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Hennessy Total has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Hennessy Total has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests in the 10 highest dividend-yielding Dow Jones Industrial Average stocks , and in U.S. Treasury securities with a maturity of less than one year. It invests approximately 50 percent of its assets in the 10 Dogs of the Dow stocks in roughly equal dollar amounts and approximately 50 percent of its assets in U.S. Treasury securities with a maturity of less than one year. The fund is non-diversified.

Things to note about Hennessy Total Return performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hennessy Total for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Hennessy Total Return help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 61.2% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Hennessy Total's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Hennessy Total's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Hennessy Total's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Hennessy Total's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Hennessy Total's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Hennessy Total's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Hennessy Total's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Hennessy Total's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Hennessy Total's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Hennessy Total's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Hennessy Total's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Hennessy Mutual Fund

Hennessy Total financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hennessy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hennessy with respect to the benefits of owning Hennessy Total security.
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